Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.3%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 8.8% on 27 Jun 2026 and the low 7.5% on 26 Jun 2026. $622.56 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 3:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 25 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 2%–14%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 8.5% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 8.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Useless-Trumpet-Subgroup | Yes | 359.37 |
| Standard-Recreation | Yes | 50 |
| Acrobatic-Pantology | Yes | 41.67 |
| poshposh | Yes | 24.22 |
| Solid-Plasterboard | Yes | 16.67 |
| Kirt4sh | Yes | 10.3 |
| Nautical-Yeast | Yes | 9.09 |
| Liquid-Necktie | Yes | 9.09 |
| Mehrtash | Yes | 9.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Agustín Canobbio records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-ury-esp-2026-06-26-player-props
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