Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 22 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 57.5% on 8 Jun 2026 and the low 26.5% on 4 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27% on 30 May 2026. $47.95K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 22 May 2026 – 21 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 49.5% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | Yes | 6.07K |
| zhanghy | Yes | 5.65K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.36K |
| tuidaidot001 | Yes | 3.73K |
| HONGKONGPEACH | Yes | 2.55K |
| CopyChan | Yes | 2.38K |
| Nimble-Washcloth-Baggage | Yes | 1.25K |
| Parallel-Trader | Yes | 1.1K |
| ProfitPlease | Yes | 1K |
| Speedy-Horse | Yes | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21-halftime-result
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