Analytics
Resolved Canada on 28 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Canada at 73.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2026 to 28 Jun 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 26 Jun 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 27 Jun 2026. $2.57M traded over the market's life.
512 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 2:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 28 Jun 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Jun 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gourmet1 | South Africa | 356.89K |
| Jokerxing7 | South Africa | 136.63K |
| filthybetz | South Africa | 100K |
| 0x4f2 | South Africa | 58.41K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between South Africa and Canada, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Africa" if South Africa is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-rsa-can-2026-06-28-more-markets
| Rhino-USDT | South Africa | 24.97K |
| purplegatto | South Africa | 19.07K |
| berbisminsk | South Africa | 14.5K |
| Fred1984 | South Africa | 10.6K |
| Surprised-Loquat | South Africa | 10.42K |
| Complicated-Questioner | South Africa | 10.37K |
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