
Resolved No on 6 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.5%. Yes opened at 16% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 16.5% on 6 Jul 2026 and the low 13.5% on 5 Jul 2026. $309.97K traded over the market's life.
358 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 9:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 6 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 16.0% |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Perfumed-Rayon-Mule | Yes | 4.28K |
| Iamnormal | Yes | 4K |
| Candid-Outfielder | Yes | 2.1K |
| ZeroCap | Yes | 1.88K |
| FOnO | Yes | 1.67K |
| Mowglifou | Yes | 1.36K |
| Amber Oracle 3BE4 | Yes | 1.32K |
| Coral Scout 401A | Yes | 1.32K |
| 15zywoo | Yes | 1.17K |
| Heavenly-Color | Yes | 774.9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the match goes to a penalty shootout. This market will resolve to "No" if the match is completed without going to a penalty shootout. For the purposes of this market, a match goes to a penalty shootout if play concludes in a draw after extra time plus stoppage time for that match. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is abandoned before a penalty shootout is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-prt-esp-2026-07-06-more-markets
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