Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 22.5%. Yes opened at 17% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2026 to 29 Jun 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 29 Jun 2026 and the lowest 17% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 22.5% on 29 Jun 2026. $7.42K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 10:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 29 Jun 2026, chart shows 14%–26%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 17.0% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Excession6 | No | 1.38K |
| evoi9 | No | 774.39 |
| bettordude | No | 599.99 |
| polcyx | No | 78.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florian Wirtz records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Florian Wirtz records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Florian Wirtz in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Florian Wirtz is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-ger-par-2026-06-29-player-props
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 68.3 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| goldisoverrated | No | 49.49 |
| rferf4343f | No | 34.96 |
| Ivory Falcon 7EF0 | No | 30 |
| menthe2 | No | 25 |
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