Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58%. Yes opened at 65% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 65% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 58% on 18 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 58% on 18 Jul 2026. $116.83K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 11:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 65.0% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| coali10 | No | 97.73K |
| Quiet Quasar 7C7B | No | 11.41K |
| Reformedx | No | 1.5K |
| Wasteful-Maintenance | No | 203.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ousmane Dembélé records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ousmane Dembélé records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Ousmane Dembélé in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ousmane Dembélé is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-eng-2026-07-18-player-props
| fyppyf | No | 167.3 |
| twentytwotwentytwo | No | 64.11 |
| moon-k58-lad | No | 49 |
| Solofunk | No | 41 |
| claudesports | No | 38.88 |
| ChukuleTerak | No | 36.41 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
