Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 15.5% on 10 Jul 2026 and the lowest 14% on 9 Jul 2026. $73.61K traded over the market's life.
282 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 9:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 14.5% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| No-89757 | Yes | 3.23K |
| YANGD888 | Yes | 2K |
| InternetCrabb | Yes | 1.79K |
| Buttery-Treatment | Yes | 1.46K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the match goes to a penalty shootout. This market will resolve to "No" if the match is completed without going to a penalty shootout. For the purposes of this market, a match goes to a penalty shootout if play concludes in a draw after extra time plus stoppage time for that match. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is abandoned before a penalty shootout is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-esp-bel-2026-07-10-more-markets
| Gamblebrother | Yes | 1.42K |
| Achakzai1 | Yes | 1.33K |
| Mlnboy1 | Yes | 1.23K |
| Indigo Maven BE1E | Yes | 897.69 |
| babak.ab | Yes | 714.29 |
| PVGrondal | Yes | 703.3 |
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