Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 24% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 24% on 9 Jul 2026 and the low 2.5% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 2.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $808.57 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 9:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 9 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 24.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Saleh436 | Yes | 555.56 |
| Song7777 | Yes | 128.21 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Quiet Maven 3BB7 | Yes | 49.75 |
| asdssss | Yes | 5.5 |
| Rocks3 | No | 0.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dani Olmo records more than 1.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Dani Olmo records 1.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Dani Olmo in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Dani Olmo is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-esp-bel-2026-07-10-player-props
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