
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 20% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 19 Jul 2026, the highest close was 20% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 19 Jul 2026.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 10:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 19 Jul 2026, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 20.0% |
| 19 Jul 2026 | 17.5% |
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In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Raya records more than 4.5 saves within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if David Raya records 4.5 saves or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Saves are counted only if credited to David Raya in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If David Raya is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-esp-arg-2026-07-19-player-props
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