Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.5%. Yes opened at 3% on 13 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 Jul 2026 to 15 Jul 2026, the highest close was 30.4% on 14 Jul 2026 and the lowest 3% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 30.4% on 14 Jul 2026. $174.59 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 8:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Jul 2026 – 15 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | 3.0% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 6.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| annonchu | Yes | 50.87 |
| Bold Oracle 65F1 | Yes | 27.39 |
| Cosmic Scout E664 | Yes | 26.01 |
| ceasefireeasterr | Yes | 17.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Argentina, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thiago Almada records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-eng-arg-2026-07-15-player-props
| caspar1248 | Yes | 11 |
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