Analytics
Resolved Egypt on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Egypt at 56.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 29 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2026 to 3 Jul 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 29 Jun 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 30 Jun 2026. $10.69M traded over the market's life.
515 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 2:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 29 Jun 2026 – 3 Jul 2026, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2026 | 44.5% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| muchobliged | Australia | 373.56K |
| Stable-Yurt | Australia | 270.3K |
| Extroverted-Rent | Australia | 239.69K |
| zhuz632 | Australia | 164.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Australia and Egypt, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Australia" if Australia is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Egypt" if Egypt is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-aus-egy-2026-07-03-more-markets
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