Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 4 Jul 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 89 points up, to 99.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $59.29K traded over the market's life.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 12:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 4 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 49.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Plutooo | No | 5K |
| 0010001000001100 | No | 3.6K |
| Hospitable-Journalist | No | 2.87K |
| balthazar | No | 1.19K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the match goes to extra time. This market will resolve to "No" if the match is completed without going to extra time. For the purposes of this market, a match goes to extra time if play begins in any period after the scheduled 90 regulation minutes plus stoppage time for that match. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match ends in a draw before extra time is played, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-cvi-2026-07-03-more-markets
| falsing | No | 1K |
| Zealous-Oncology-Rage | No | 1K |
| HelloWorld2024 | No | 315.88 |
| Medium-Tshirt-Yolk | No | 267.08 |
| Neat-Robot | No | 210.76 |
| Jameslyy | No | 200 |
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