Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 37% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 37.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $1.69K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 11:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 52.5% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LudoMassa | No | 147.33 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 75 |
| xutesaponu | No | 9.23 |
| AntiVaxxer | No | 7.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Switzerland, scheduled for July 11 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisandro Martínez records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Lisandro Martínez records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Lisandro Martínez in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Lisandro Martínez is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-che-2026-07-11-player-props
| ssssss1223 | No | 6.74 |
| triklozoid | No | 4 |
| ChukuleTerak | No | 1.72 |
| blackhawk05 | No | 1.01 |
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