Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 10% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 12.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $2.24K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 2:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Humongous-Veteran | Yes | 500 |
| cottonwithsky | Yes | 255.17 |
| Song7777 | Yes | 136.36 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Switzerland, scheduled for July 11 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Ndoye records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Dan Ndoye records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Dan Ndoye in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Dan Ndoye is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-che-2026-07-11-player-props
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 29.04 |
| Bold Comet FF3E | Yes | 23.61 |
| PontiusPilate | Yes | 15.65 |
| Ivory Harbor F7F9 | Yes | 12 |
| benos67 | Yes | 10.2 |
| z3ojbk | Yes | 10 |
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