Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 15 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Jun 2026 to 17 Jun 2026, the highest close was 34% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 15 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 34% on 17 Jun 2026. $10.3K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 4:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Jun 2026 – 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jun 2026 | 17.5% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 34.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Forecastication2 | Yes | 1K |
| jsn7 | Yes | 714.29 |
| misterblue | Yes | 625.38 |
| BelieveGoodThings | Yes | 569.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Algeria, scheduled for June 16 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Lionel Messi records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Lionel Messi in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Lionel Messi is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-alg-2026-06-16-player-props
| Clean-Metallurgist | Yes | 326.25 |
| serJerry | Yes | 277.78 |
| velto92 | Yes | 250 |
| Bobbertaf | Yes | 207.56 |
| SmokeCash | Yes | 200 |
| windscreenwipers | Yes | 175 |
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