Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 75%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 75% on 16 Nov 2025 and the lowest 50% on 14 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 75% on 16 Nov 2025. $1.96K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 75.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SuperEd | No | 313.62 |
| pashmex | No | 283.39 |
| TimeTraveler | No | 168.15 |
| fghtyyyyyy | No | 6.23 |
| predictionprofessional | No | 4.15 |
| TQzer | No | 2.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Brazil wins against Senegal - Colombia wins against New Zealand - Argentina wins against Angola Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Draws will not be considered wins. If a game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If a game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time of the respective games.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifa-friendlies
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