Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 25.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 12 Nov 2025, the highest close was 53% on 5 Nov 2025 and the lowest 17% on 8 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 23% on 6 Nov 2025. $12.81K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 12 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.79K |
| aywsd | No | 1.38K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.13K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 12, 2025, If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-rus-per-2025-11-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 262 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 131 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 126 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 113 |
| Johnny8886 | No | 76 |
| Ill-Fated-Buzzard | No | 54.16 |
