Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 7 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2025 to 15 Nov 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 19% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 23% on 12 Nov 2025. $32.12K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 7 Nov 2025 – 15 Nov 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2025 | 46.5% |
| 15 Nov 2025 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.3K |
| NiHaoFineShyt | Yes | 1.11K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.08K |
| wadell | Yes | 999.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, November 15, 2025 between South Africa and Zambia.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-rsa-zam-2025-11-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 119 |
