Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 14 Nov 2025 and the low 20.5% on 17 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 20.5% on 17 Nov 2025. $4.83K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 11 Nov 2025 – 18 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 48.5% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.05K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.02K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 550 |
| nzone | Yes | 317.55 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 261 |
| shepesh | Yes | 167 |
| Anonymous8 | Yes | 150 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 136 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 135 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 123 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 18, 2025, If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-oma-civ-2025-11-18
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