Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 49% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 26 Mar 2026, the highest close was 53% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 5.5% on 23 Mar 2026.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 7:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 26 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.13K |
| SamiWong | Yes | 11K |
| Yellow-blue | Yes | 10K |
| riccopong | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, March 26, 2026 between Nepal and Hong Kong SAR.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-nep-hkg-2026-03-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| edgers | Yes | 5.1K |
| Megaken88 | Yes | 1.93K |
| raulin7 | Yes | 1.9K |
| Common-Recall | Yes | 1.43K |
| Crdgyy | Yes | 1.36K |
| freewinner | Yes | 1.12K |
