
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 10 Oct 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 7 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 6.2% on 8 Oct 2025. $7.72K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 10 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 10 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 3.05K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 431 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 275.72 |
| DEX21 | Yes | 24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, October 9, 2025 between Morocco and Bahrain.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-mar-bah1-2025-10-09
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Mg93 | Yes | 16.67 |
| aes1993 | Yes | 12.5 |