Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 42.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 65% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 43.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 62.5% on 11 Nov 2025. $18.63K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 13 Nov 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 54.5% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.64K |
| BorkLazar | Yes | 681.78 |
| Juicy-Blanket | Yes | 543 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 445.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, November 13, 2025 between Lithuania and Israel.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-lit-isr-2025-11-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Vivacious-Bankbook | Yes | 263.16 |
| TungTungTungSAHUR | Yes | 84.75 |
| wangchao | Yes | 80.65 |
| riccopong | Yes | 47.33 |
| KingRhyze | Yes | 31.58 |
| efr0simu | Yes | 21.37 |
