
Resolved Yes on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 54.5% on 29 Mar 2026 and the low 40.5% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 54.5% on 29 Mar 2026. $724.92K traded over the market's life.
140 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 48.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| us98 | No | 30.74K |
| c4c4 | No | 21.16K |
| kkpay19888 | No | 15.46K |
| Cannae | No | 9.85K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.76K |
| Anjun | No | 5.56K |
| Beneficial-Climate | No | 5.26K |
| jackmala | No | 5.09K |
| gsf24541 | No | 4.55K |
| guillermo-dog | No | 4.02K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Sunday, March 29, 2026 between Lithuania and Georgia.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-lit-geo-2026-03-29
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