Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21%. Yes opened at 46% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 8 Nov 2025 and the low 21% on 14 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 21.5% on 12 Nov 2025. $69.73K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 4 Nov 2025 – 14 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 46.0% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.34K |
| nzone | No | 1.3K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 728 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 451.65 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 331 |
| Johnny8886 | No | 154 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 135 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 127 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 121 |
| Coral Pioneer 487D | Yes | 95.38 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 14, 2025, If Saudi Arabia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-ksa-civ-2025-11-14
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