Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 70%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 14 Nov 2025, the highest close was 88% on 11 Nov 2025 and the lowest 42% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 42% on 6 Nov 2025. $114.52K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 14 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | 70.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.87K |
| masterp | No | 3.64K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | No | 2.05K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.45K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 14, 2025, If Japan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-jpn-gha-2025-11-14
New to prediction markets?
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| xiaohuangxiaohuang | No | 300 |
