Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 1 Nov 2025 and the low 12% on 18 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 13.5% on 16 Nov 2025. $19.14K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 19, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 28 Oct 2025 – 18 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Whimsical-Whorl | Yes | 4.79K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.61K |
| wadell | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 981 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 535 |
| nzone | Yes | 471.59 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 266 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 135 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 132 |
| enessssss | Yes | 126.58 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 18, 2025, If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-jpn-bol-2025-11-18
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