
Resolved Yes on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 58.5% on 20 Mar 2026 and the low 32.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 32.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $115.64K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 10:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ragged-Shovel | No | 2.6K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 564.16 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | No | 340.19 |
| Cannae | No | 255.64 |
| Beneficial-Climate | No | 250 |
| PT-S1 | No | 248.69 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 240.34 |
| yec0003 | No | 199.99 |
| alttab | No | 187.65 |
| JTvnfb2Cg | No | 177.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between Hungary and Slovenia.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-hun-slv1-2026-03-28
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page