
Resolved No on 13 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 32%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 83% on 11 Nov 2025 and the lowest 29% on 12 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 54 points down, to 29% on 12 Nov 2025. $92.85K traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 13 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 68.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yes | 32.17K |
| AzuawithaZ | Yes | 4.28K |
| krd777 | Yes | 2.96K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 13, 2025, If Hong Kong SAR wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-hkg-cam-2025-11-13
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