Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 17 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Nov 2025 to 19 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 46.5% on 17 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 99.7% on 19 Nov 2025. $3.36K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Nov 2025 – 19 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 | 46.5% |
| 19 Nov 2025 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 539 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 255 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 170.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 18, 2025, If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-gui-nig-2025-11-18
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