Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 50% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 8 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 7 Oct 2025 and the lowest 35% on 8 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35% on 8 Oct 2025. $4.17K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 8 Oct 2025, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 8 Oct 2025 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EVplusrebate | Yes | 2K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 576.13 |
| Tender-Pigeon | Yes | 446.48 |
| nzone | Yes | 164.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 8, 2025 between Gibraltar and New Caledonia.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-gib-ncl-2025-10-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| joaorafael | Yes | 34.48 |
| maxi9000 | Yes | 29.85 |
| dlight | Yes | 14.93 |
| davewooden | Yes | 14.71 |
| heyi0816 | Yes | 14.08 |
| Baluexe | Yes | 4.72 |
