Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 46%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 8 Oct 2025, the highest close was 54% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 49.5% on 7 Oct 2025. $2.21K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 8 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 8 Oct 2025 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 576.13 |
| Tender-Pigeon | Yes | 416.67 |
| Ill-Fated-Buzzard | Yes | 200 |
| Vague-Surfboard | Yes | 4.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 8, 2025, If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-gib-ncl-2025-10-08
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