Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 31 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 5.3% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 7% on 24 Mar 2026. $123.2K traded over the market's life.
115 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 31 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 5.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| keasiyo | Yes | 10K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.05K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 4.04K |
| WhyAreWeDoingThis | Yes | 3.47K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Monday, March 30, 2026 between Egypt and Spain.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-egy-esp-2026-03-30
| Shabby-Pollutant | Yes | 3.11K |
| SRD00 | Yes | 1.52K |
| Fentddon | Yes | 938 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 876.43 |
| tbjkbv | Yes | 730.12 |
| Brimley | Yes | 723 |
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