Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 26 Mar 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 35% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 37% on 12 Mar 2026. $32.38K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 7:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 26 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 45.0% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kkpay19888 | Yes | 6.67K |
| ff3364 | Yes | 2.22K |
| gsf24541 | Yes | 2.22K |
| cyniclee | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, March 26, 2026 between Cyprus and Belarus.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-cyp-bel1-2026-03-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rox119 | Yes | 900 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 609.03 |
| willfurry | Yes | 209.76 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| puppyy | Yes | 150.46 |
| MEV-PM | Yes | 74 |
