Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 23.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 22.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $79.14K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 10:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| c4c4 | No | 2.26K |
| Cannae | No | 1.44K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.28K |
| PT-S1 | No | 675.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between Canada and Iceland.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-can-isl-2026-03-28
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