Analytics
Trading ended on 30 Sep 2026 with Yes at 48.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 30 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 48% on 2 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 48%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 48% on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Botswana vs. Mozambique - Exact Score”.
$205.18 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is BlackMamba08 with 149 shares; the largest No position is Legal-Knot-Neglect with 145.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 12:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 49.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackMamba08 | Yes | 149.02 |
| Legal-Knot-Neglect | No | 144.65 |
| KOGamble6273 | Yes | 56.16 |
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Botswana and Mozambique, scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Botswana vs. Mozambique match originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-bot-moz-2026-09-30-exact-score
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.5 |
| 0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121 | No | 10.03 |
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