Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 18% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 23.5% on 9 Mar 2026. $15.66K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 9:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 46.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 5.42K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.7K |
| Incomplete-Culture | Yes | 529.12 |
| gjfdk8ef4gty6 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, March 27, 2026 between Austria and Ghana.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-aut-gha-2026-03-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 476.91 |
| Noxious-Trachoma | Yes | 299.94 |
| cursed14421 | Yes | 249.98 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 150 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 144 |
| human.bean | Yes | 100.24 |
