Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 5 Sep 2025, the highest close was 57.5% on 4 Sep 2025 and the lowest 17.5% on 5 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 17.5% on 5 Sep 2025. $9.24K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 4:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 5 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 57.5% |
| 5 Sep 2025 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 3.56K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 799 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 773.56 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 258 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, September 5, 2025 at 5:45 AM ET, If New Zealand wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". If New Zealand loses, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-aus-nzl-2025-09-05
| Awave | Yes | 70.16 |
| and1world | Yes | 48.82 |
| 360crypto | Yes | 17.65 |
| beyhohlov | Yes | 10.53 |
| lasxrr | Yes | 8.7 |
| RayLee | Yes | 8.45 |
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