Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 48% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48% on 28 Mar 2026 and the low 5.9% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 5.9% on 29 Mar 2026. $48.2K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 3:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 48.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 5.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 13.6K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.78K |
| ThomasDer24 | Yes | 979.17 |
| Incomplete-Culture | Yes | 696.09 |
| Cannae | Yes | 466.14 |
| kjsch | Yes | 389.97 |
| cobble | Yes | 388.74 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 316.81 |
| Traxagu | Yes | 263.2 |
| sallu336 | Yes | 218.53 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Argentina and Zambia.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-arg-zam-2026-03-31
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