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Resolved Donchenko on 12 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Donchenko at 41.5%. The Bluebaum side opened at 59.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 59.5% on 11 Nov 2025 and the low 58.5% on 12 Nov 2025. $3.53K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 13, 4:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Bluebaum price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 12 Nov 2025, chart shows 54%–64%
| Observed | Bluebaum price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 59.5% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Bluebaum | 1.07K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Bluebaum | 765 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Bluebaum | 272 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Bluebaum | 124 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Bluebaum | 106 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Bluebaum | 90 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Bluebaum | 56 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | Bluebaum | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Bluebaum" if Matthias Bluebaum advances in their Alexander Donchenko match at the FIDE World Cup 2025. It will resolve to "Donchenko" if Alexander Donchenko advances in their match against Matthias Bluebaum. If one player withdraws or pulls out and the other advances automatically, this market will resolve to the advancing player. If the match is cancelled, not played, or the result is otherwise invalid, this market will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Fédération Internationale des Échecs (FIDE).
Resolution source: https://worldcup2025.fide.com/results/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fide-world-cup-2025-matthias-bluebaum-alexander-donchenko
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