Analytics
Yes is at 25%, down 24 points from 49% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 73 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27%; a month before, 23%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 23% on 15 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Fernando Mendoza 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards”.
$373.4 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.19, with a 44.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 23 trades, $17.85 bought Yes and $110.42 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 19 shares; the largest No position is 0x0820-3 with 39.
Trading closes on 12 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0820-3 | No | 39 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 19.49 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 19.02 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Fernando Mendoza records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 2,399.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Fernando Mendoza does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Fernando Mendoza recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fernando-mendoza-passing-yards-2026-27
| Slimy-Coin |
| Yes |
| 0.55 |
| Polimaki | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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