Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 12 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 140 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 63% on 14 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 60.5% on 13 Feb 2025. $259.9K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 12 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2025 | 36.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zkrollup | Yes | 1.3K |
| fedparodi | Yes | 1.08K |
| Absolute-Macadamia | Yes | 338.98 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any current or former federal employee based on investigations conducted by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/federal-employee-charged-as-a-result-of-doge-investigation-before-july
| themilkman-747 | Yes | 292.87 |
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 201.78 |
| nilskro | Yes | 166.67 |
| oddnaan | Yes | 166.67 |
| Chaos-Lover | Yes | 134.44 |
| rickyhaysfawd5 | Yes | 111 |
| MelonTusk | Yes | 110.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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