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Paper trading
Resolved Yes on 29 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 83% on 18 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 98.8% on 27 Oct 2025 and the low 81% on 26 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 93.5% on 2 Oct 2025. $868.49K traded over the market's life.
194 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 31, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 18 Sep 2025 – 29 Oct 2025, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2025 | 83.0% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Self-Assured-Majorleague | No | 55.56K |
| tommytrades07 | No | 34.34K |
| Stark-Sunlight | No | 29.42K |
| georgietrades | No | 28.86K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between September 18 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2025, currently scheduled for October 28–29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no relevant statement is released for this meeting by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-359
| zogiazas | No | 24.63K |
| 8oracle8 | No | 23.33K |
| 080979876 | No | 7.65K |
| FredGambel | No | 6.84K |
| balabababa | No | 6.56K |
| plinkomaster | No | 6.41K |
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