Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 60.5% on 7 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 148 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2023 to 2 May 2024, the highest close was 88.5% on 3 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 32.5% on 14 Feb 2024. $1.61M traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 7 Dec 2023 – 2 May 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2023 | 60.5% |
| 2 May 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stakee | Yes | 2.27K |
| f00 | No | 305.38 |
| Sleek-Coordinator | Yes | 100 |
This is a market on predicting when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by
| Yes |
| 78.13 |
| baba69 | No | 66.96 |
| Evil-Waterskiing | Yes | 58.82 |
| RollerCoaster | Yes | 33.04 |
| cetver | No | 30 |
| idk whatever | Yes | 20 |
| Sujendra.eth | Yes | 6.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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