Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 19 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2023 to 21 Mar 2024, the highest close was 63% on 3 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 21 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 51.5% on 13 Jan 2024. $1.91M traded over the market's life.
121 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 19 Dec 2023 – 21 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2023 | 43.5% |
| 21 Mar 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Zippity | Yes | 16.8K |
| intuitionworks | Yes | 13.17K |
| Stakee | Yes | 8.29K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by
| Yes |
| 7.7K |
| Jovial-Yarn | Yes | 6.75K |
| Feliz | Yes | 5.74K |
| HPreziosa | Yes | 4.66K |
| MaximeKlijnFEDMember | Yes | 4.26K |
| Slice | Yes | 3.59K |
| ticktocktoe | Yes | 3K |
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