Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

economyResolved

No, settled Jun 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$785.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC	0.5%	0.5%
Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC	0.7%	0.7%
Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
Jun 12, 12:00 AM UTC	0.6%	0.6%
Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC	0.7%	0.7%
Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC	0.7%	0.7%
Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC	0.7%	0.7%
Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC	0.8%	0.8%
Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC	0.9%	0.9%
Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC	1.1%	1.1%
Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC	1.1%	1.1%
Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC	1.5%	1.5%
Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC	1.8%	1.8%
Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC	1.1%	1.1%
Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC	1.8%	1.8%
May 31, 12:00 AM UTC	1.7%	1.7%
May 30, 12:00 AM UTC	1.9%	1.9%
May 29, 12:00 AM UTC	2.1%	2.1%
May 28, 12:00 AM UTC	2.3%	2.3%
May 27, 12:00 AM UTC	3.1%	3.1%
May 26, 12:00 AM UTC	2.3%	2.3%
May 25, 12:00 AM UTC	1.7%	1.7%
May 24, 12:00 AM UTC	1.3%	1.3%
May 23, 12:00 AM UTC	1.3%	1.3%
May 22, 12:00 AM UTC	1.6%	1.6%
May 21, 12:00 AM UTC	1.7%	1.7%
May 20, 12:00 AM UTC	1.5%	1.5%
May 19, 12:00 AM UTC	1.8%	1.8%
May 18, 12:00 AM UTC	2.0%	2.0%
May 17, 12:00 AM UTC	0.8%	0.8%
May 16, 12:00 AM UTC	0.9%	0.9%
May 15, 12:00 AM UTC	1.7%	1.7%
May 14, 12:00 AM UTC	1.1%	1.1%
May 13, 12:00 AM UTC	2.3%	2.3%
May 12, 12:00 AM UTC	2.5%	2.5%
May 11, 12:00 AM UTC	2.4%	2.4%
May 10, 12:00 AM UTC	2.5%	2.5%
May 9, 12:00 AM UTC	2.1%	2.1%
May 8, 12:00 AM UTC	3.5%	3.5%
May 7, 12:00 AM UTC	3.5%	3.5%
May 6, 12:00 AM UTC	3.5%	3.5%
May 5, 12:00 AM UTC	3.0%	3.0%
May 4, 12:00 AM UTC	4.5%	4.5%
May 3, 12:00 AM UTC	4.5%	4.5%
May 2, 12:00 AM UTC	4.5%	4.5%
May 1, 12:00 AM UTC	4.5%	4.5%
Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC	6.5%	6.5%
Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%
Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC	8.0%	8.0%
Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC	6.5%	6.5%
Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC	9.0%	9.0%
Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC	10.0%	10.0%
Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC	10.0%	10.0%
Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC	7.5%	7.5%
Apr 16, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Apr 15, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Apr 13, 12:00 AM UTC	11.0%	11.0%
Apr 11, 12:00 AM UTC	11.0%	11.0%
Apr 10, 12:00 AM UTC	11.0%	11.0%
Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Apr 8, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Apr 7, 12:00 AM UTC	11.0%	11.0%
Apr 6, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Apr 4, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Apr 3, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC	13.0%	13.0%
Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Mar 30, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Mar 28, 12:00 AM UTC	11.0%	11.0%
Mar 27, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Mar 26, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Mar 25, 12:00 AM UTC	7.5%	7.5%
Mar 24, 12:00 AM UTC	11.0%	11.0%
Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Mar 22, 12:00 AM UTC	12.0%	12.0%
Mar 21, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Mar 20, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Mar 19, 12:00 AM UTC	13.0%	13.0%
Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC	31.5%	31.5%
Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC	31.5%	31.5%
Mar 16, 12:00 AM UTC	30.0%	30.0%
Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC	31.5%	31.5%
Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC	29.0%	29.0%
Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC	43.5%	43.5%
Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC	44.5%	44.5%
Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC	47.5%	47.5%
Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC	42.5%	42.5%
Mar 8, 12:00 AM UTC	57.0%	57.0%
Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC	52.5%	52.5%
Mar 6, 12:00 AM UTC	36.5%	36.5%
Mar 5, 12:00 AM UTC	48.5%	48.5%
Mar 4, 12:00 AM UTC	47.5%	47.5%
Mar 3, 12:00 AM UTC	54.5%	54.5%
Mar 2, 12:00 AM UTC	59.0%	59.0%
Feb 28, 12:00 AM UTC	54.0%	54.0%
Feb 27, 12:00 AM UTC	46.0%	46.0%
Feb 26, 12:00 AM UTC	56.5%	56.5%
Feb 25, 12:00 AM UTC	63.0%	63.0%
Feb 24, 12:00 AM UTC	69.5%	69.5%
Feb 23, 12:00 AM UTC	64.0%	64.0%
Feb 22, 12:00 AM UTC	66.0%	66.0%
Feb 21, 12:00 AM UTC	68.0%	68.0%
Feb 20, 12:00 AM UTC	73.5%	73.5%
Feb 19, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Feb 18, 12:00 AM UTC	72.0%	72.0%
Feb 17, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Feb 16, 12:00 AM UTC	76.0%	76.0%
Feb 15, 12:00 AM UTC	75.5%	75.5%
Feb 14, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Feb 13, 12:00 AM UTC	73.0%	73.0%
Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC	76.0%	76.0%
Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Feb 10, 12:00 AM UTC	71.5%	71.5%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM UTC	71.5%	71.5%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM UTC	71.5%	71.5%
Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC	72.5%	72.5%
Feb 6, 12:00 AM UTC	69.5%	69.5%
Feb 5, 12:00 AM UTC	69.0%	69.0%
Feb 4, 12:00 AM UTC	65.5%	65.5%
Feb 3, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Feb 2, 12:00 AM UTC	70.0%	70.0%
Feb 1, 12:00 AM UTC	65.5%	65.5%
Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC	64.5%	64.5%
Jan 30, 12:00 AM UTC	66.5%	66.5%
Jan 29, 12:00 AM UTC	69.0%	69.0%
Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC	70.0%	70.0%
Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC	60.5%	60.5%
Jan 26, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Jan 25, 12:00 AM UTC	59.5%	59.5%
Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC	65.5%	65.5%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC	63.0%	63.0%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC	54.5%	54.5%
Jan 21, 12:00 AM UTC	80.5%	80.5%
Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC	79.5%	79.5%
Jan 19, 12:00 AM UTC	79.5%	79.5%
Jan 18, 12:00 AM UTC	80.0%	80.0%
Jan 17, 12:00 AM UTC	76.5%	76.5%
Jan 16, 12:00 AM UTC	78.0%	78.0%
Jan 15, 12:00 AM UTC	76.5%	76.5%
Jan 14, 12:00 AM UTC	73.5%	73.5%
Jan 13, 12:00 AM UTC	77.0%	77.0%
Jan 12, 12:00 AM UTC	71.5%	71.5%
Jan 11, 12:00 AM UTC	76.5%	76.5%
Jan 10, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Jan 9, 12:00 AM UTC	76.5%	76.5%
Jan 8, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jan 7, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
Jan 6, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Jan 5, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
Jan 4, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Jan 3, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Jan 2, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC	93.0%	93.0%
Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Dec 29, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Dec 28, 12:00 AM UTC	95.5%	95.5%
Dec 27, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
Dec 26, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Dec 25, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Dec 24, 12:00 AM UTC	83.5%	83.5%
Dec 23, 12:00 AM UTC	78.0%	78.0%
Dec 22, 12:00 AM UTC	76.5%	76.5%
Dec 21, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Dec 20, 12:00 AM UTC	83.5%	83.5%
Dec 19, 12:00 AM UTC	72.0%	72.0%
Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC	70.5%	70.5%
Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC	57.5%	57.5%
Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC	57.5%	57.5%

Topic room

Read this market in context

Fed and FOMC oddsWhat will the Fed do at its next meeting?

Research behind the numbers

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC

0.5%

Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC

0.7%

Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC

0.4%

Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC

0.4%

Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC

0.4%

Jun 12, 12:00 AM UTC

0.6%

Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC

0.7%

Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC

0.7%

Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC

0.7%

Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC

0.8%

Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC

0.9%

Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC

1.1%

Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC

1.1%

Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC

1.5%

Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC

1.8%

Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC

1.1%

Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC

1.8%

May 31, 12:00 AM UTC

1.7%

May 30, 12:00 AM UTC

1.9%

May 29, 12:00 AM UTC

2.1%

May 28, 12:00 AM UTC

2.3%

May 27, 12:00 AM UTC

3.1%

May 26, 12:00 AM UTC

2.3%

May 25, 12:00 AM UTC

1.7%

May 24, 12:00 AM UTC

1.3%

May 23, 12:00 AM UTC

1.3%

May 22, 12:00 AM UTC

1.6%

May 21, 12:00 AM UTC

1.7%

May 20, 12:00 AM UTC

1.5%

May 19, 12:00 AM UTC

1.8%

May 18, 12:00 AM UTC

2.0%

May 17, 12:00 AM UTC

0.8%

May 16, 12:00 AM UTC

0.9%

May 15, 12:00 AM UTC

1.7%

May 14, 12:00 AM UTC

1.1%

May 13, 12:00 AM UTC

2.3%

May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

2.5%

May 11, 12:00 AM UTC

2.4%

May 10, 12:00 AM UTC

2.5%

May 9, 12:00 AM UTC

2.1%

May 8, 12:00 AM UTC

3.5%

May 7, 12:00 AM UTC

3.5%

May 6, 12:00 AM UTC

3.5%

May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

3.0%

May 4, 12:00 AM UTC

4.5%

May 3, 12:00 AM UTC

4.5%

May 2, 12:00 AM UTC

4.5%

May 1, 12:00 AM UTC

4.5%

Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC

6.5%

Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC

7.0%

Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC

8.0%

Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC

6.5%

Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC

9.0%

Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC

10.0%

Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC

10.0%

Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC

7.5%

Apr 16, 12:00 AM UTC

10.5%

Apr 15, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Apr 13, 12:00 AM UTC

11.0%

Apr 11, 12:00 AM UTC

11.0%

Apr 10, 12:00 AM UTC

11.0%

Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Apr 8, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Apr 7, 12:00 AM UTC

11.0%

Apr 6, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Apr 4, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Apr 3, 12:00 AM UTC

10.5%

Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC

13.0%

Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Mar 30, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Mar 28, 12:00 AM UTC

11.0%

Mar 27, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Mar 26, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Mar 25, 12:00 AM UTC

7.5%

Mar 24, 12:00 AM UTC

11.0%

Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Mar 22, 12:00 AM UTC

12.0%

Mar 21, 12:00 AM UTC

10.5%

Mar 20, 12:00 AM UTC

14.5%

Mar 19, 12:00 AM UTC

13.0%

Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

31.5%

Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

31.5%

Mar 16, 12:00 AM UTC

30.0%

Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC

31.5%

Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC

29.0%

Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC

43.5%

Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC

44.5%

Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC

47.5%

Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC

42.5%

Mar 8, 12:00 AM UTC

57.0%

Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC

52.5%

Mar 6, 12:00 AM UTC

36.5%

Mar 5, 12:00 AM UTC

48.5%

Mar 4, 12:00 AM UTC

47.5%

Mar 3, 12:00 AM UTC

54.5%

Mar 2, 12:00 AM UTC

59.0%

Feb 28, 12:00 AM UTC

54.0%

Feb 27, 12:00 AM UTC

46.0%

Feb 26, 12:00 AM UTC

56.5%

Feb 25, 12:00 AM UTC

63.0%

Feb 24, 12:00 AM UTC

69.5%

Feb 23, 12:00 AM UTC

64.0%

Feb 22, 12:00 AM UTC

66.0%

Feb 21, 12:00 AM UTC

68.0%

Feb 20, 12:00 AM UTC

73.5%

Feb 19, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Feb 18, 12:00 AM UTC

72.0%

Feb 17, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Feb 16, 12:00 AM UTC

76.0%

Feb 15, 12:00 AM UTC

75.5%

Feb 14, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Feb 13, 12:00 AM UTC

73.0%

Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC

76.0%

Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Feb 10, 12:00 AM UTC

71.5%

Feb 9, 12:00 AM UTC

71.5%

Feb 8, 12:00 AM UTC

71.5%

Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC

72.5%

Feb 6, 12:00 AM UTC

69.5%

Feb 5, 12:00 AM UTC

69.0%

Feb 4, 12:00 AM UTC

65.5%

Feb 3, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Feb 2, 12:00 AM UTC

70.0%

Feb 1, 12:00 AM UTC

65.5%

Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC

64.5%

Jan 30, 12:00 AM UTC

66.5%

Jan 29, 12:00 AM UTC

69.0%

Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC

70.0%

Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC

60.5%

Jan 26, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Jan 25, 12:00 AM UTC

59.5%

Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC

65.5%

Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC

63.0%

Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC

54.5%

Jan 21, 12:00 AM UTC

80.5%

Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC

79.5%

Jan 19, 12:00 AM UTC

79.5%

Jan 18, 12:00 AM UTC

80.0%

Jan 17, 12:00 AM UTC

76.5%

Jan 16, 12:00 AM UTC

78.0%

Jan 15, 12:00 AM UTC

76.5%

Jan 14, 12:00 AM UTC

73.5%

Jan 13, 12:00 AM UTC

77.0%

Jan 12, 12:00 AM UTC

71.5%

Jan 11, 12:00 AM UTC

76.5%

Jan 10, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Jan 9, 12:00 AM UTC

76.5%

Jan 8, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jan 7, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

Jan 6, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Jan 5, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

Jan 4, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

Jan 3, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

Jan 2, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

93.0%

Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Dec 29, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Dec 28, 12:00 AM UTC

95.5%

Dec 27, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

Dec 26, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Dec 25, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Dec 24, 12:00 AM UTC

83.5%

Dec 23, 12:00 AM UTC

78.0%

Dec 22, 12:00 AM UTC

76.5%

Dec 21, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

Dec 20, 12:00 AM UTC

83.5%

Dec 19, 12:00 AM UTC

72.0%

Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC

70.5%

Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC

57.5%

Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC

57.5%