Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 134 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2024 to 13 Jun 2024, the highest close was 97% on 2 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 97% on 2 Feb 2024. $1.25M traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 14, 4:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 134 points, 1 Feb 2024 – 13 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | 50.0% |
| 13 Jun 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Luth | Yes | 19.41K |
| fuckmetamask | Yes | 3.33K |
| nftmerchant | Yes | 2.77K |
This is a market on predicting when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by
| Yes |
| 2.69K |
| ctrlitall | Yes | 2.09K |
| Polymoly | Yes | 1.56K |
| P.IM | Yes | 1.28K |
| alexiscool | Yes | 1.15K |
| 888E | Yes | 742.86 |
| StackMEup | Yes | 560 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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