
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3% on 22 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 22 Dec 2023 to 1 Feb 2024, the highest close was 7.1% on 3 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2024. $413.99K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 4:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 22 Dec 2023 – 1 Feb 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2023 | 3.0% |
| 1 Feb 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ticktocktoe | Yes | 11.01K |
| samuli | Yes | 2K |
| ags83 | Yes | 288.89 |
| Gmegus | Yes | 104.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by
| ArchitectSIN | Yes | 85.11 |
| Anon4 | Yes | 83.33 |
| New.Jeans | Yes | 0.02 |
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