Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 5.5% on 5 Dec 2025 and the low 1% on 11 Dec 2025. $8.78K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 5 Dec 2025 – 11 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 5.5% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.05K |
| Cole12 | Yes | 637.61 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 337 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 294 |
| Piootrek | Yes | 268.69 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 237 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 176 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 172 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Bogus-Severity | Yes | 83.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in January?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1764799281194) is priced over the listed value between 2:00 PM ET and 5:59 PM ET on Wednesday, December 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in January?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-jan-25bps-cut-over-20-on-december-10 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-derivative-jan-25bps-cut-odds-on-december-10
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