Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 21% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 27% on 8 Dec 2025 and the low 0.9% on 11 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 0.9% on 11 Dec 2025. $8.13K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 5 Dec 2025 – 11 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 21.0% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Farmie | Yes | 22.22 |
| sipidn | Yes | 18.52 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 12 |
| Smug-Daddy | Yes | 3.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in January?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1764799281194) is priced over the listed value between 2:00 PM ET and 5:59 PM ET on Wednesday, December 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in January?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-jan-25bps-cut-over-20-on-december-10 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-derivative-jan-25bps-cut-odds-on-december-10
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