Fact Check: Was the Trump shooter "a Chinese man"?

politicsResolved

False, settled Aug 1, 2024 UTC

True

0.0%

False

100.0%

Final True 0¢Final False 100¢

Lifetime volume

$54.4K

Resolved

False

Settled

Aug 1, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved False on 1 Aug 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had False at 99.5%. The True side opened at 0.1% on 15 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 1.4% on 29 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Jul 2024. $54.42K traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 3:17 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the True price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 15 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

True price, first and latest
Observed	True price
15 Jul 2024	0.1%
1 Aug 2024	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
LesTisch	True	1.5K
Colossal-Media	True	1K
Firefox1	True	140
Alicia	False	0.02

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market is a fact check on the following tweet https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1812274458062668044. This market will resolve to "True" if Trump's shooter was a Chinese man. This market will resolve to "False" if Trump's shooter was not a Chinese man. This market will resolve once the shooter's identity is definitively known.